Opinion

Agentic AI in capital markets: Keeping humans in control

As agentic AI transforms capital markets by automating complex, data-driven workflows, Michiel Verhoeven, chief executive of Xceptor, argues that its effective and scalable use depends on strong governance frameworks where humans remain accountable decision-makers, especially in higher-risk scenarios.

AI has become a core part of how capital markets operate. The industry has moved well beyond simple prompt-and-response tools, requiring systems that can interpret documents, take actions, and orchestrate multi-step workflows.

But as adoption accelerates, projects that deliver real, enterprise-wide value are about more than the underlying AI tool. Leading organisations design AI around the realities of their industry, with strong guardrails, clear accountability, and intentional human oversight. This is how to scale AI that capital markets can trust.

Agentic AI is powerful, but only within a governed framework

AI agents can be highly effective at extracting unstructured data, performing consistency checks, mapping against known rules and templates, and assessing confidence. But the assumption that an agent can always act independently without human input is not realistic for most capital markets use cases today.

Operations teams oversee decisions that carry real consequences. Accuracy, judgement, and accountability matter more here than in many other sectors. Even small errors can affect settlement, accounting, disclosures, or reporting. Pure automation cannot carry that responsibility alone.

A more realistic operating model keeps humans as the primary decision-makers, with AI acting according to the level of risk and confidence involved.

Levels of autonomy and human intervention

Firms are increasingly defining confidence thresholds that determine how far an agent can go before a human steps in. These rules typically reflect regulatory, client, and internal audit requirements.

In practice, this could look like:

  • AI extracts and summarises for a human to act: common where risk is high or confidence is low. The agent identifies relevant information, shows its source, and points to exactly where in the document it was found. Humans maintain full oversight and decisioning.
  • AI extracts, summarises, and recommends: common in mid-risk and high-volume scenarios. The agent proposes the next step, such as updating a record or clarifying a field, with humans approving or performing the action depending on defined thresholds.
  • AI acts autonomously: reserved for the lowest risk, highest certainty scenarios, and still limited in capital markets today. Even here, every autonomous action must be logged, visible, and reversible.

An example scenario is where an agent extracts standard settlement instructions (SSIs) from unstructured formats, validates fields against existing reference data, and checks for internal consistency.  Where confidence is high and risk is low – such as resolving formatting differences or confirming that an instruction matches existing records – it recommends an action for human review. Where extraction involves specific client data or updates to standing instructions, the agent routes the item immediately to a human.

Similarly, an agent extracts key economic terms from OTC trade confirmations in multiple formats, validates those fields against booking records and agreed rules, and identifies a recurring exception. Where variance falls within approved tolerances — such as minor rounding differences or standardised field mapping – it recommends a next step for human review. Where discrepancies involve trade economics, counterparty data, or contractual terms, the agent escalates the exception directly to a human.

Importantly, each decision point is supported by source references, confidence scores, and a full audit trail. This blend of autonomy and control is what makes agentic AI viable in regulated workflows.

Combining governance with domain expertise

General‑purpose AI platforms often provide strong governance and security. But scaling AI in capital markets requires going further, with frameworks tailored to the industry.

This includes multi‑step orchestration that increases accuracy, validation rules tailored to capital markets data, traceability mechanisms designed for regulatory environments, and business-user-friendly tooling to refine agents without code.

These capabilities have existed in rules‑based automation for years and must now be extended to AI-driven workflows.

Agentic AI can now handle large volumes of complex, unstructured data, from confirms to SSIs to loan notices. It can orchestrate tasks end-to-end and identify when additional data is needed. But when confidence drops, ambiguity exists, or regulatory exposure increases, humans remain the final decision-makers.

This is the architecture that allows agentic AI to scale safely.

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